042. The Binomial Distribution

A Binomial distribution based on the Bernoulli process and it must fit certain conditions:

1. There must be only two possible outcomes. One is identified as a success, the other as a failure.

2. The probability of success, π, remains constant from one trial to the next, as does probability of a failure, 1 – π.

3. The probability of a success in one trial is totally independent of any other trial.

4. The experiment can be repeated many times.

If the probability that any given trial will result in a success is known, it is possible to estimate how many successes there will be in a given number of trials.

, (4.13)

Where N is the number of trials; π is the probability of a success on any given trial; X is given number.

The Mean and Variance For Binomial distribution are calculated as

μ = Nπ and σ2 = Nπ(1 – π). (4.14)

It means that on average there are Nπ successes out of N trials.

Figure 4.4 shows the Probability mass function (PMF), which assigns a probability to each value of X, for binomial distributions with different values of π and N.

A

B

C

D

Figure 4.3 – Probability Mass Functions: a – the distribution is symmetrical if π = 0.5; b – the distribution is skewed right if π < 0.5; c – the distribution is skewed left if π > 0.5; d – a distribution close to normality since N is bigger

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